LOADING…

What regime are we in?

A daily composite of cross-asset macro pillars and crypto-native signals, scored deterministically into a single risk label — with the evidence shown, never hidden.

MACRO REGIME

—

—

CRYPTO REGIME 60/40

—

—

3-FILTER CROSS-CHECK

—

—

    Why this label?

    MACRO — pushing risk-on

      MACRO — pushing risk-off

        CRYPTO — pushing risk-on

          CRYPTO — pushing risk-off

            Labels are tagged UNVALIDATED until the validation harness has ≥30 samples and beats the random baseline.

            01 · CROSS-ASSET

            Macro pillars

            Each pillar scores −1 (risk-off) to +1 (risk-on). The composite is the weighted blend shown in the hero.

            02 · CRYPTO-NATIVE

            Crypto pillars

            Crypto-native signals blended 60/40 with the macro backdrop. Sources: Bybit tickers/klines/OI, CoinGecko, DefiLlama stablecoin supply, Hyperliquid pipeline (consensus · aggression · whales · richlist).

            03 · WHAT'S BEING BID

            Sector interest

            Equity sectors (20d momentum × RS × volume)

            Sector Score 20d 50d RS vs SPY

            Crypto sectors (momentum × funding × breadth)

            Sector Score 7d 24h Funding Breadth

            04 · CRYPTO DRILL-DOWN

            Symbol interest

            Universe: top crypto-native Bybit perps by 24h turnover. Click a header to sort; search to filter.

            Symbol Sector Price 24h % 7d % Funding 24h Vol (USD)

            05 · ACCUMULATION

            Regime history

            Appends one row per run. Feeds the Phase-3 validation harness (label vs forward returns vs random baseline).

            06 · TRUST

            Methodology & sources

            How the score works

            • Every pillar computes a normalized score in [−1, +1] from deterministic rules (no LLM in the loop).
            • Macro composite = weighted blend of 8 pillars (trend 0.25, breadth 0.15, volatility 0.15, credit 0.15, rates 0.10, currencies 0.10, commodities 0.10, rotation 0.10). Correlation regime is informational.
            • Crypto composite = weighted blend of 7 crypto-native pillars, blended 60/40 with the macro composite.
            • Labels: ≥ +0.35 Risk-On · +0.15 Mild Risk-On · ±0.15 Neutral · −0.15 Mild Risk-Off · ≤ −0.35 Risk-Off.
            • The 3-filter cross-check (trend / VIX-term / credit) is shown alongside — disagreement between models is itself information.

            Sources (all keyless)

            • Yahoo chart API — SPY/QQQ/IWM, HYG/LQD/IEF/TLT, ^VIX/^VIX3M, DXY, AUDJPY, HG=F/GC=F/CL=F, 11 sector SPDRs, SPHB/SPLV.
            • US Treasury XML — daily par yield curve (2s10s, 10y).
            • Bybit V5 public — tickers (price/OI/funding, ~870 symbols), daily klines, OI history.
            • CoinGecko /global — mcap, dominance, volume.
            • DefiLlama — stablecoin supply trend.
            • Hyperliquid pipeline — consensus, aggression, whales, richlist, keylevels, screener passes.

            Honest limits

            • Equity breadth is ETF-proxy based (11 sector SPDRs + RSP/SPY), not true constituent breadth — flagged in confidence badges.
            • Equity pillars go stale on weekends/holidays; crypto pillars stay live. The freshness stamp shows the gap.
            • Labels are UNVALIDATED until validate_regime.py reaches ≥30 samples and beats a random baseline (SoSoValue lesson).